<u>THE 10 BEST GAMES TO BET</u>
JETS at STEELERS
1 p.m., Steelers by 3 ½, 41 ½
HANK’S HONEYS: Zach Wilson returns to motion, which is nice for the long term, however he’s certain to have some rust on him. Joe Flacco’s arm was about to fall off with what number of instances he’s thrown the soccer by three weeks and if the Jets don’t get extra out of their operating sport, a rusty Wilson shall be bucking the chances towards ballhawk Minkah Fitzpatrick. The Steelers could have misplaced T.J. Watt however OLB Alex Highsmith, with 4 ½ sacks thus far, might reap the benefits of the Jets’ dire state of affairs on the sort out spots. Mike Tomlin often will get essentially the most out of his groups, particularly at dwelling after losses and particularly with 10 days relaxation. So whereas Mitch Trubisky could also be a detriment, Tomlin will look to lean on Najee Harris towards a questionable Jets protection.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Steelers and the underneath.
BEARS at GIANTS
1 p.m., Giants by 3 ½, 39 ½
HANK’S HONEYS: Justin Fields doesn’t appear like an NFL quarterback and if the Bears rating greater than 20 factors in a sport, it’s virtually trigger for celebration. The Giants aren’t an entire workforce, as they confirmed Monday night time, however they do have extra to work with on each side of the ball. There is a priority giving up 5.2 yards per carry and with Leonard Williams out once more, the Bears ought to be capable to run the ball. Daniel Jones isn’t nice however he’s actually adequate to win this QB matchup. After all, in contrast to Fields, he can run and throw. With two putt-putt offenses enjoying in moist circumstances, this sport ought to go underneath the entire.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Giants and the underneath.
BROWNS at FALCONS
1 p.m., Browns by 1 ½, 48 ½
HANK’S HONEYS: The Browns could possibly be 3-0 if Nick Chubb took a knee towards the Jets and despite that very Browns-like catastrophe, they’ve been enjoying successful soccer. Jacoby Brissett has calmed down a unstable state of affairs within the wake of the Deshaun Watson suspension. He’s an awesome slot in an offense that may run the soccer prefer it does, managing the sport whereas throwing a single INT. As a lot as we like what the Falcons have carried out thus far, masking each sport, their protection is ranked twenty seventh within the league and may have its palms full containing Chubb, Kareem Hunt and the remaining. The Browns come into the sport with 10 days relaxation and may cowl this tiny quantity.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Browns and the over.
COMMANDERS at COWBOYS
1 p.m., Cowboys by 3 ½, 41 ½
HANK’S HONEYS: Nothing appears good in burgundy and gold proper now. With Carson Wentz working behind an offensive line that may’t defend him, there’s an excessive amount of strain on a protection that ought to be higher than its stats. The Cowboys ought to pad their league lead in sacks this week towards a unit that gave up eight sacks towards the Eagles whereas controlling a operating sport that’s averaging fewer than 90 yards per sport. Can’t argue with how Cooper Rush is enjoying. With the Cowboys operating sport in gear, he doesn’t must do an excessive amount of and he’s not making errors, but to throw an interception in his two begins.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Cowboys and the over.
PATRIOTS at PACKERS
4:25 p.m., Packers by 10 ½, 42
HANK’S HONEYS: Even with Mac Jones sidelined, this line is excessive. The Packers’ offense hasn’t precisely been cruising by its first three video games. They’ve been operating the ball effectively however Aaron Rodgers nonetheless doesn’t look snug with anybody however Allen Lazard and Bill Belichick will arrange his protection accordingly. Belichick has Brian Hoyer at QB and though he hasn’t gained a begin since Game 4 of the 2016 season, he’s 21-18-1 ATS for his profession. The veteran is sensible and gained’t make errors in a sport plan the place Belichick will take the air out of the ball (no Deflategate jokes, please). Green Bay will win however the Patriots don’t usually get blown out.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Patriots and the underneath.
CHIEFS at BUCS
8:20 p.m., Chiefs by 1 ½, 45
HANK’S HONEYS: Impossible to inform what impact the Bucs’ disruption may have however historical past has proven it to be not that a lot on the house workforce. Tom Brady is 7-2 ATS off a loss since he’s been in Tampa and will get again the sorely missed Mike Evans and probably Julio Jones. The Bucs protection has been excellent and has the general pace to close down the Chiefs’ suspect operating sport and strain Patrick Mahomes, whose sideline incident with Eric Bieniemy has raised skeptical eyebrows. It appears as if the Chiefs had been somewhat overvalued after their blowout win over the Cardinals. They won’t have kicker Harrison Butker once more this week and that’s a giant a part of their offense.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Bucs and the underneath.
SEAHAWKS at LIONS
1 p.m., Lions by 4 ½, 48
HANK’S HONEYS: To beat the Lions it’s important to outscore them and this Seahawks workforce simply doesn’t have the identical firepower because the Eagles and Vikings. Take away that first half towards the Broncos and the Seahawks have been absolutely the worst workforce within the league with Geno Smith reverting to what we anticipated of Geno Smith coming into the season, a QB who can’t get the ball to his pair of elite receivers, Tyler Lockett and DK Metcalf. The Lions could also be 1-2 however their offense is legit, scoring in each quarter this season. That units up effectively towards the Seahawks’ revised protection which ranks thirty second in yards per cross try, twenty second in yards per rush, twenty ninth in yards per play and twenty ninth in third down conversion charge.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Lions and the over.
BRONCOS at RAIDERS
4:25 p.m., Raiders by 2 ½, 45 ½
HANK’S HONEYS: The Raiders win the prize for the largest busts after an over-hyped preseason. They could have a brand new coach in Josh McDaniels (possibly he ought to persist with coordinating) however they’ve been the identical previous workforce, committing penalties and making errors. Public cash has been coming in on them this week, figuring they may bust out towards a Broncos workforce that has underachieved with Russell Wilson at QB. But Wilson has a dreadful secondary to take advantage of this week whereas the Denver D, which has been excellent, will get free runs at Derek Carr by his porous O-line.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Broncos and the underneath.
JAGUARS at EAGLES
1 p.m., Eagles by 6 ½, 47
HANK’S HONEYS: Philly is nice however its inventory is overvalued. This line ought to be smaller. An argument may be made that the Jaguars are the most effective workforce the Eagles may have confronted thus far. For certain, they’ve the most effective protection and that’s why we like Doug Pederson’s possibilities in his return to Philly. With rain within the forecast, the passing video games are going to be restricted and that favors a Jacksonville workforce that’s second general in time of possession. The Eagles have allowed 5.4 yards per carry, third-worst within the league and their vulnerability towards the cross is beneath their shell, the place Trevor Lawrence has been very correct.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Jaguars and the underneath.
CARDINALS at PANTHERS
4:05 p.m., Panthers by 2, 42 ½
HANK’S HONEYS: The Cardinals at all times play higher on the highway, the place they’ve coated in seven straight video games as an underdog whereas the Panthers are 1-7 SU and 1-7 ATS as a house favourite underneath Matt Rhule, They additionally match up effectively right here. Defensive coordinator Vance Joseph is a blitz-happy play caller. That could not have labored towards Patrick Mahomes or Matthew Stafford however Baker Mayfield is notoriously shaky towards strain. After beginning the 12 months towards the Browns, Giants and Saints, the Panthers, who’re considerably banged up within the secondary, will see an explosive passing assault for the primary time.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Cardinals and the over.
<u>LOOK BUT DON’T TOUCH</u>
BILLS at RAVENS
1 p.m., Bills by 3 ½, 51
HANK’S HONEYS: There isn’t any clear decide right here. Both victims of the Dolphins have been ravaged by accidents and each quarterbacks are able to riddling the opposing protection — Lamar Jackson has been significantly spectacular throwing from the pocket. But we’re going to lean to the guests right here. Outside of Jackson, the Ravens haven’t been operating the ball a lot in any respect. The Ravens haven’t put a lot strain on the quarterback and Josh Allen may have time to reap the benefits of a really suspect secondary. We’re additionally in search of a high-scoring sport given the state of each defenses.
CAN’T HELP YOURSELF? Bills and the over.
<u>BEST OF THE REST</u>
VIKINGS vs. SAINTS in LONDON
9:30 p.m., Vikings by 2 ½, 43 ½
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Vikings and the over.
TITANS at COLTS
1 p.m., Colts by 3 ½, 42 ½
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Titans and the over.
CHARGERS at TEXANS
1 p.m., Chargers by 5 ½, 44
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Chargers and the over.
RAMS at 49ERS
Monday, 8:15 p.m., 49ers by 2 ½, 42
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Rams and the underneath.
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WEEK’S BEST BET: Lions. Yes, we mentioned it.
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LAST WEEK: 10-6 ATS, 5-10-1 O/U
OVERALL: 19-26 ATS, 24-22-1 O/U
BEST BETS: 1-2
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Source: www.bostonherald.com