<u>THE 10 BEST GAMES TO BET</u>
COMMANDERS at GIANTS
1 p.m., Commanders by 1 ½, 40 ½
HANK’S HONEYS: Just a number of weeks in the past, did anybody assume the Commanders could be favored on the street in opposition to the then-soaring Giants? But quite a bit has occurred since. Carson Wentz’ harm has been the most effective factor to occur to the Commanders as Taylor Heinicke’s inspiring play has lifted the group again into the playoff hunt. Meanwhile, three losses in 4 video games have the Giants enjoying to their preseason expectations. Most disturbing is the slowing down of their operating sport, the important thing to their scorching begin. That’s not prone to change in opposition to Washington’s protection. Not satisfied? Take the below is what shall be an absolute slog of a sport.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Commanders and the below.
JETS at VIKINGS
1 p.m., Vikings by 3, 45 ½
HANK’S HONEYS: Coin-flipping right here. The Jets want their spectacular protection to deliver its A-Game. Sauce Gardner has to outplay Justin Jefferson and Quinnen Williams has to make the most of the Vikings’ delicate underbelly. But the Vikings’ offense — and particularly Kirk Cousins — is normally a special animal at house. Mike White can’t be anticipated to play like Dan Marino for a second straight week. Love the over in what shall be somewhat little bit of a back-and-forth observe meet.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Vikings and the over.
PACKERS at BEARS
1 p.m., Packers by 4, 42 ½
HANK’S HONEYS: Aaron Rodgers plans to tug his battered physique onto Soldier Field to reclaim possession of the Bears. We nonetheless don’t find out about Justin Fields’ standing however as was the case going into final week’s sport in opposition to the Jets, who desires him scrambling round with a separated shoulder? On high of Fields’ scenario, Chicago simply positioned WR Darnell Mooney and S Eddie Jackson on IR. Both groups run the ball pretty effectively and have points in opposition to the run. The Bears are simply worse at it.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Packers and the below.
BROWNS at TEXANS
1 p.m., Browns by 7, 47
HANK’S HONEYS: Rust-encrusted Deshaun Watson comes off his prolonged suspension on the street in opposition to his former group. That may present some motivation for the dispirited Texans however not sufficient to make up for the disparity on the sphere. The Browns don’t want Watson to have a giant day. He merely has handy it off to Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt, the two-headed monster of the league’s fifth-best speeding offense in opposition to the league’s worst run protection. Meanwhile, with Houston’s poor QB play, rookie Dameon Pierce has been operating into stacked bins each week. That received’t change right here. Watson may add a speeding TD of his personal to the rout.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Browns and the below.
BRONCOS at RAVENS
1 p.m., Ravens by 8 ½, 38 ½
HANK’S HONEYS: The Ravens have been shocked of their go to to Jacksonville final week however they’ve bounced again sturdy after their three earlier losses. It’s a giant line however given Denver’s inept offense, it’s going to most likely come down as to whether the Ravens can rating 20-24 factors. That’s very doable. The Broncos’ protection is getting worn down with a lot time on the sphere. The accidents are mounting up entrance and it is a run-heavy Baltimore group that may pound you inside and beat you exterior with Lamar Jackson’s legs. This is a second straight east coast journey for the Broncos, who might actually use a relaxation. With a lot on the road, the Ravens received’t permit them one.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Ravens and the over.
TITANS at EAGLES
1 p.m., Eagles by 5 ½, 44 ½
HANK’S HONEYS: The Eagles’ Achilles heel is in opposition to the run, a weak point the Packers simply exploited. The Titans, in fact, have the NFL’s largest run protection exploiter in Derrick Henry. They even have an above-average protection that may at the very least decelerate this Philly machine. It’s the identical method that underrated coach Mike Vrabel used to drag off an upset in Kansas City and to a sure extent, it’s what the Commanders did of their upset of the Eagles. Make the sport ugly. Maybe it received’t result in one other W in opposition to the 10-1 Eagles however it could actually hold issues shut. Titans are additionally 5-1 ATS on street.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Titans and the below.
SEAHAWKS at RAMS
4:05 p.m., Seahawks by 7 ½, 41 ½
HANK’S HONEYS: The Seahawks have misplaced two in a row with their protection regressing. The excellent news is that they face the Rams’ mess of an offense this week. The defending champs have just about packed it in and with Matthew Stafford and Cooper Kupp already gone, they’ve now shut down Aaron Donald for the yr. That will depart loads of probabilities for Geno Smith and Kenneth Walker to make a number of chunk performs. If the Seahawks don’t rebound this week, they’re not rebounding in any respect.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Seahawks and the below.
DOLPHINS at 49ERS
4:25 p.m., Niners by 3 ½, 46
HANK’S HONEYS: The 49ers protection has been dominant however check out that schedule. They’ve performed just one offense this prolific and had 44 factors laid on them at house by Patrick Mahomes and Co. in late October. True, you possibly can say the identical factor about Miami going through this powerful a protection however few groups can unfold the Niners out with pace the best way the Fish can. Dolphins coach Mike McDaniel could be very aware of a 49er offensive that may be arduous to determine. Christian McCaffrey has been slowed down by a knee harm and if the factors begin piling up, Jimmy G isn’t prone to match throws with Tua.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Dolphins and the over.
CHARGERS at RAIDERS
4:25 p.m., Chargers by 1 ½, 50 ½
HANK’S HONEYS: The Raiders have proven indicators of life recently with an offense that’s conveniently constructed to maul the Chargers. Josh Jacobs shall be operating throughout a protection that’s permitting a league-high 5.4 yards per carry. And when Derek Carr desires to take a shot downfield, Davante Adams, who had 10 catches for 141 yards and a TD at L.A. on opening day, will not be lined by the injured J.C. Jackson. Under stress a lot of the day Carr was terrible in that opening week, tossing three INTs. But accidents have taken the sting out of the Chargers’ go rush since.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Raiders and the over.
COLTS at COWBOYS
8:20 p.m., Cowboys by 10 ½, 43 ½
HANK’S HONEYS: The mismatch is up entrance the place the Cowboys shall be up in opposition to a gaggle of go protectors that has yielded a league-high 43 sacks. If Matt Ryan is operating for his life all day, this shall be a simple cowl. The Cowboys have been averaging 33 ppg since Dak Prescott’s return and will be capable of pull the Jonathan Taylor-led Colts into enjoying the sport on their phrases. The schedule maker didn’t do the Colts any favors. They’re on the street with a brief week in opposition to a group that may have been resting for 10 days. Barring the again door …
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Cowboys and the below.
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<u>LOOK BUT DON’T TOUCH</u>
CHIEFS at BENGALS
4:25 p.m., Chiefs by 2 ½, 52 ½
HANK’S HONEYS: Both groups are on a roll and heading to a doable playoff rematch though the Bengals are doing it a bit extra below the radar. Nevertheless, that was an enormous character win for Cincy in Nashville final week when the situations pressured the sport to be performed on the Titans’ phrases. Both Joe Burrow and Patrick Mahomes determine to mild issues up so it may very well be a kind of whoever-has-the-ball final shootouts. But since now we have to select a aspect, we’ll go together with a Cincy group that will get each Ja’Marr Chase and Joe Mixon again this week.
CAN’T HELP YOURSELF? Bengals and the over.
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<u>BEST OF THE REST</u>
STEELERS at FALCONS
1 p.m., Steelers by 1 ½, 43
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Falcons and the below.
JAGUARS at LIONS
1 p.m., Jaguars by 1 ½, 52
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Lions and the over.
SAINTS at BUCS
Monday, 8:15 p.m., Bucs by 3 ½, 40
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Saints and the below.
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WEEK’S BEST BET: Raiders. Josh Jacobs has a day.
LAST WEEK: 9-6-1 ATS, 8-8 OVER/UNDER
OVERALL: 81-95-4 ATS, 94-84-2 OVER/UNDER
BEST BETS: 7-5
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Source: www.bostonherald.com