<u>THE 10 BEST GAMES TO BET</u>
BILLS at JETS
1 p.m., Bills by 12 ½, 47 ½
HANK’S HONEYS: The inflated line is a priority. The Bills put it in cruise management final week and allowed the Packers a again door cowl. But will they take their foot off the fuel once more? This is just Buffalo’s second divisional sport. The Bills misplaced their first one in Miami and there’s no method Buffalo goes to look previous an AFC East opponent with the Jets’ document. With the dynamic Breece Hall sidelined and Zach Wilson struggling, the Jets merely don’t have the offensive firepower to maintain up with Josh Allen and the boys. The Bills ought to shut down the Jets’ working sport because the Patriots did final week and Wilson’s INT issues might feed into much more Buffalo factors.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Bills and the over.
PACKERS at LIONS
1 p.m., Packers by 3 ½, 49
HANK’S HONEYS: Green Bay actually wants this sport to retain any playoff hopes and the flailing Lions current a golden alternative. The Packers confirmed just a few indicators of life within the second half towards the highly effective Bills final week, significantly with a working sport that has been ignored too usually this 12 months. That ought to proceed towards a dreadful Lions D and permit the completely disappointing Aaron Rodgers to lastly get untracked. The sport additionally presents a possibility for disappointing Green Bay protection to begin taking part in to its expertise stage. The Lions formally gave up on the season by buying and selling standout tight finish T.J. Hockenson to the rival Vikings, a transfer that may’t do a lot for morale.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Packers and the over.
RAIDERS at JAGUARS
1 p.m., Raiders by 1 ½, 47
HANK’S HONEYS: These are two groups that seemingly discover methods to lose each week after elevating hope for his or her fan bases coming into the 12 months. But there’s purpose to again the house canine. The offenses are evenly matched however Jacksonville’s protection has performed a lot better this season and we anticipate a so-far inconsistent Trevor Lawrence to be in considerably of a consolation zone right here. The Raiders have the statistical worst move rush within the league and are close to the underside in opponents’ yards per move try, completion share, third down conversion fee and purple zone TD ratio. Look for Evan Engram to have a giant sport towards a protection that may’t cowl tight ends.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Jaguars and the over.
PANTHERS at BENGALS
1 p.m., Bengals by 7 ½, 44
HANK’S HONEYS: After one other blowout loss to their nemesis Browns, the Bengals will look to rebound at house towards an inferior opponent. The Panthers have been taking part in exhausting for interim coach Steve Wilks, significantly on protection. But they’re nonetheless having issues attending to the QB and that’s the a technique you’ll be able to beat Joe Burrow and the Bengals. Carolina’s poor third-down conversion fee ensures that the Bengals’ offense will get loads of alternatives with the ball.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Bengals and the over.
VIKINGS at COMMANDERS
1 p.m., Vikings by 3 ½, 44 ½
HANK’S HONEYS: The Vikings might not be nearly as good as their document suggests however they’re a lot higher than the Commanders. T.J. Hockenson is a giant addition to an offense that was already various and stocked with weapons and can solely add to their success within the purple zone. Washington has profited from the gritty play of Taylor Heinicke however the magic can’t proceed for lengthy. The three straight wins have come towards the Bears, the struggling Packers and the Colts in Sam Ehlinger’s first begin. This is a step up.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Vikings and the over.
SEAHAWKS at CARDINALS
4:05 p.m., Cardinals by 2, 49 ½
HANK’S HONEYS: The Seahawks have been on a run behind an enhancing protection (15 ppg over final three) that stymied the Cardinals three weeks in the past. DeAndre Hopkins’ return since has helped the Arizona offense however the Cardinals stay too sporadic on each side of the ball. Geno Smith’s resurgence is among the tales of the season and Kenneth Walker is rising as a high working again. After being run over by the Vikings for 173 speeding yards, we don’t belief the Cardinals protection to cease each. Bottom line: the Seahawks are taking part in successful soccer and the Cardinals aren’t.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Seahawks and the over.
TITANS at CHIEFS
8:20 p.m., Chiefs by 12 ½, 47
HANK’S HONEYS: Keep a watch on Ryan Tannehill’s harm standing in fact. But the Titans have the recipe to get underneath this double-digit unfold due to their dedication to a Derrick Henry-led working sport that may shorten the clock and hold Patrick Mahomes off the sphere. Their secondary is a priority towards Ok.C.’s downfield passing sport however they’ll additionally create some four-man stress that may enable them to drop extra individuals into protection. Once the Chiefs get going as they did their final day out, the purpose spreads are inclined to balloon however Tennessee is permitting simply 19.7 ppg with the Chiefs at 24.6 and on that foundation alone, this quantity is simply too excessive.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Titans and the underneath.
DOLPHINS at BEARS
1 p.m., Dolphins by 5, 41 ½
HANK’S HONEYS: In spite of their blowout loss in Dallas, the Bears are getting higher on offense behind the improved play of Justin Fields. Miami’s protection is ranked No. 26 towards the move and has struggled to maintain up with cell QBs like Fields, having allowed 166 mixed yards to Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson. The Bears are actually the No. 1 speeding offense within the league and might hold Tua Tagovailoa and his playmakers off the slower grass taking part in floor of Soldier Field.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Bears and the underneath.
COLTS at PATRIOTS
4:25 p.m., Patriots by 5 ½, 41
HANK’S HONEYS: This one shapes as an actual grinder and whereas Bill Belichick’s Patriots all the time earn the matchup benefit towards inexperienced quarterbacks like Sam Ehlinger, the Colts are ok on protection to maintain issues shut. They have allowed greater than 20 factors solely thrice in eight video games and have good numbers towards the move, which means that Mac Jones (three TDs, seven INTs) might battle right here. The firing of offensive coordinator Marcus Brady (regardless that Frank Reich known as the performs) might function a wakeup name to Indy’s turnover-prone offense. At least Ehlinger took higher care of the ball final week. The Pats ought to win right here however in an in depth one.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Colts and the underneath.
RAMS at BUCS
4:25 p.m., Bucs by 2 ½, 43
HANK’S HONEYS: Yeesh. Take your decide of which crew has been extra of a disappointment. Tom Brady is displaying his age in addition to his mood whereas the Rams are a backside 5 unit on offense. Their offensive line is endangering Matthew Stafford’s well being and now they’ll face a Tampa Bay move rush that’s attending to the quarterback on 8.5% of dropbacks, the third-best fee within the league. Stafford has to hope that Cooper Kupp’s ankle gained’t be a difficulty or his safety blanket will probably be gone. The Bucs protection has points towards the run however that’s much less of an element right here. In a sport between two pass-happy groups, the Bucs rank fourth and the Rams twenty fifth in yards per move try.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Bucs and the underneath.
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<u>LOOK BUT DON’T TOUCH</u>
CHARGERS at FALCONS
1 p.m., Chargers by 3, 47
HANK’S HONEYS: It’s a sport of strengths versus weaknesses. Justin Herbert will probably be up towards the Thirty first-ranked move protection (and second-worst move rush) within the league whereas the Falcons’ fourth-best working sport faces a Charger D that doesn’t even seem like it’s all in favour of stopping the run, permitting a league-worst 5.7 ypc. Atlanta would possibly get Cordarelle Patterson again this week whereas the lack of WR Mike Williams continues to harm the Chargers. The Bolts are 3-0 ATS on the street and the Falcons, after beginning out the 12 months unbeaten towards the unfold, have didn’t cowl their final two.
CAN’T HELP YOURSELF? Falcons and the underneath.
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<u>BEST OF THE REST</u>
RAVENS at SAINTS
Monday, 8:15 p.m., Ravens by 2 ½, 49
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Ravens and the over.
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WEEK’S BEST BET: Seahawks. Getting higher each week.
LAST WEEK: 6-9 ATS, 8-7 OVER/UNDER
OVERALL: 55-67-1 ATS, 63-59-1 OVER/UNDER
BEST BETS: 5-3
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Source: www.bostonherald.com