<u>THE 10 BEST GAMES TO BET</u>
TEXANS at GIANTS
1 p.m., Giants by 6 ½, 40 ½
HANK’S HONEYS: The temptation is to leap on the Giants’ bandwagon towards one of many NFL’s worst groups, particularly since they’ve an enormous benefit pitting Saquon Barkley towards a bottom-ranked run protection that’s permitting 5.5 ypc and 180.6 ypg. But not so quick. The Giants are solely 1-1 ATS as favorites this 12 months and each of these spreads have been three factors. Their solely win by greater than six factors got here towards the Bears, 20-12. The Texans have really been worthwhile towards the quantity with a 4-3-1 ATS file in all video games and a 2-1-1 ATS file on the highway. The Giants have had points towards the run as nicely and Texans rookie Dameon Pierce can eat up yards. Giants ought to win however we don’t really feel comfy recognizing near a TD.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Texans and the over.
JAGUARS at CHIEFS
1 p.m., Chiefs by 9 ½, 50 ½
HANK’S HONEYS: The Chiefs are coming off a string of massive video games with the rival Chargers on deck, making the Jaguars a straightforward group to miss this week. The Jags could not have Derrick Henry however their operating recreation can hold them on this one. They are additionally large and bodily up entrance on protection, additionally just like the Titans and so they’ll make Patrick Mahomes work for the whole lot he will get. Last week’s comeback win over the Raiders bucked their pattern of discovering methods to lose. But they don’t should win right here. They simply have to remain within the recreation. They’ve performed that each one 12 months.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Jaguars and the beneath.
BROWNS at DOLPHINS
1 p.m., Dolphins by 3 ½, 48 ½
HANK’S HONEYS: The over is screaming with each groups permitting 24.9 factors per recreation. The Browns look over-matched towards Miami’s passing recreation whereas the Dolphins will battle to cease the Browns’ operating assault. As for the road, Cleveland, which was so snake-bitten early, could have turned a nook towards the Bengals of their final recreation and can have further time to arrange. There’s additionally a bit an excessive amount of enthusiasm for Tua Tagovailoa and a group that hardly received previous the Lions and the Bears of their final two video games. The Browns can management TOP and in what shapes up as a one-score recreation, we’ll seize the hook.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Browns and the over.
SAINTS at STEELERS
1 p.m., Saints by 2 ½, 40 ½
HANK’S HONEYS: Mike Tomlin ought to have the Steelers very nicely ready popping out of their bye towards the underwhelming, beat-up Saints. Pittsburgh struggled via the league’s hardest schedule over the primary half of the season and the Saints represent a relative breather. T.J. Watt returns this week together with security Damontae Kazee as CB William Jackson III makes his Steelers debut. Tomlin ought to be capable to lean on that protection towards the mistake-prone and really acquainted foe Andy Dalton. Kenny Pickett ought to be higher with the additional week to arrange.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Steelers and the beneath.
COWBOYS at PACKERS
4:25 p.m., Cowboys by 5, 43
HANK’S HONEYS: Nine weeks is greater than sufficient for the jury to succeed in a verdict on Aaron Rodgers and the Packers. Lacking a deep menace, the offense is completely out of synch and never more likely to discover its footing towards an excellent Dallas protection, particularly if Aaron Jones and Romeo Doubs can’t go. Green Bay’s protection would have been a complementary part to a stable assault but it surely’s been uncovered as a mediocre unit, particularly towards the run. The Boys ought to management the road of scrimmage and if the Green Bay secondary continues to expertise protection breakdowns, Dak Prescott can have a discipline day.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Cowboys and the over.
CHARGERS at NINERS
8:20 p.m., 49ers by 7, 45 ½
HANK’S HONEYS: It’s power towards weak point because the well-rested Niners, bolstered by the addition of Christian McCaffrey and the return of Deebo Samuel, take purpose at a rubbery Chargers run protection that simply misplaced spectacular DT Austin Johnson. The Chargers would love to show this right into a shootout with Justin Herbert outdueling Jimmy G however that will probably be made tougher with out Mike Williams and fairly probably Keenan Allen. The Bolts turned to Austin Ekeler to get issues performed towards the Falcons however the swarming 49er protection can include him. The Chargers have had a behavior of falling behind by double digits. They can’t try this right here.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: 49ers and the beneath.
CARDINALS at RAMS
4:25 p.m., Rams by 3, 43 ½
HANK’S HONEYS: It’s primarily over for the loser, which makes this an enormous one, and the Rams are much more battle-tested. Kyler Murray was terrible towards the Rams in final 12 months’s playoff assembly and whereas the Rams are nowhere close to their Super Bowl kind, their protection ought to be capable to management this one, simply because it did within the first assembly this season when Arizona had no solutions for Aaron Donald. L.A.’s offensive woes proceed however with the Cards permitting over 30 factors in three straight weeks, this can be a get-right recreation.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Rams and the beneath.
COLTS at RAIDERS
4:05 p.m., Raiders by 6 ½, 42 ½
HANK’S HONEYS: Teams typically play over their heads after a training change however we don’t find out about this one. Jeff Saturday, a weird rent, inherits a multitude that was nothing just like the Colts’ groups he as soon as starred for at heart. He’s an absolute novice as a head coach as is the man calling performs, assistant QB coach Parks Frazier. With Jonathan Taylor nonetheless out, Sam Ehlinger goes to should step up large time towards entrance and we simply don’t see that taking place. The Raiders ought to be higher, particularly with the expertise they’ve on offense, and with the possession time they need to take pleasure in, they will put on down the Indy D. It’s not typically you’d wager on a 2-6 group giving this many factors however that is an exception.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Raiders and the beneath.
COMMANDERS at EAGLES
Monday, 8:15 p.m., Eagles by 10 ½, 44 ½
HANK’S HONEYS: Double-digit spreads have been problematic for favorites (see final Thursday evening’s Eagles-Texans recreation). And as spectacular because the Eagles have been in operating the desk SU, divisional video games are normally hard-fought with few blowouts. The Commanders have been stepping up on protection and will add Chase Young to the go rush combine this week. They pressured Kirk Cousins 11 occasions final week and sacked him thrice whereas the Eagles have been permitting 4 sacks to the Texans. Certainly, the Eagles fee the sting in a number of different departments (Washington has allowed the third-most TD passes within the NFL, for example). But with a goal on their backs, every week goes to get more durable for the Birds.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Commanders and the over.
LIONS at BEARS
1 p.m., Bears by 3, 48 ½
HANK’S HONEYS: The Lions come off what is going to most likely be their largest win of the season towards the Packers and that units them up for a letdown towards the surging Bears offense. Detroit has had issues stopping the run and has to cope with each Chicago’s energy operating recreation and the twin menace of a extra assured Justin Fields. The Lions are simply 1-6-1 SU of their final eight journeys to Soldier Field.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Bears and the beneath.
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<u>LOOK BUT DON’T TOUCH</u>
VIKINGS at BILLS
1 p.m., Bills by 5 ½, 45 ½
HANK’S HONEYS: The Josh Allen harm casts an enormous shadow over the matchup between two of the highest groups within the NFL and sadly, we received’t know that till recreation day. It’s easy. If he performs, take the Bills. If it’s Case Keenum, take the Vikings and the factors as a result of, even when the Bills win, they received’t cowl. Minnesota could also be 7-1 but it surely’s a precarious 7-1 and if Allen was wholesome, it will be straightforward to choose Buffalo in an enormous bounceback spot. But the complete Bills offense revolves round their do-everything QB. They’ll have to alter an excessive amount of round if he misses the sport.
CAN’T HELP YOURSELF? Vikings and the beneath.
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<u>BEST OF THE REST</u>
SEAHAWKS vs BUCS in MUNICH
9:30 a.m., Bucs by 2 ½, 44 ½
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Bucs and the beneath.
BRONCOS at TITANS
1 p.m., Titans by 3, 39
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Titans and the beneath.
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WEEK’S BEST BET: Cowboys. Not even shut.
LAST WEEK: 7-5-1 ATS, 6-6-1 OVER/UNDER
OVERALL: 62-72-2 ATS, 69-65-2 OVER/UNDER
BEST BETS: 6-3
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Source: www.bostonherald.com