Every week there’s a path to profitable for the Dolphins. Here’s this week’s means:
1. Ride the large play. This sport’s power for the Dolphins performs straight into Cleveland’s weak point. The Dolphins’ big-play passing sport with Tua Tagovailoa, Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle has been dynamic the previous couple of video games in opposition to troubled Detroit and Chicago defenses. Cleveland is the same protection. It ranks twenty eighth in giving up 11.1 yards per completion. Tagovailoa ranks first amongst quarterbacks in 9.2 yards per completion. Waddle ranks fifth amongst receivers at 17.3 yards per catch and Hill is sixteenth at 14.6 yards per catch. Throw within the reality the Browns protection provides up 24.9 factors a sport (similar because the Dolphins) to rank twenty fifth and this must be a sport folks stroll away from once more marveling on the Dolphins’ deep passing sport.
2. Nick Chubb vs. Dolphins dashing protection. Chubb averages 105.1 yards a sport to rank solely behind Derrick Henry’s 108.8. But he averages 5.6 yards a carry in comparison with Henry’s 4.8 so you possibly can see the injury he can do. The Dolphins run protection has been middle-of-the-pack statistically — 14th in yards allowed per sport, (117.4), nineteenth in yards allowed per try (4.6) and thirteenth in dashing first downs allowed (13). It’s higher than these numbers, although, as a result of working quarterbacks are their drawback. Lamar Jackson (119 yards dashing), Justin Fields (178) and Josh Allen (47) had been the main rushers in these video games. The New York Jets’ Breece Hall ran for 97 yards on 18 carries to be the simplest working again in opposition to them. Dalvin Cook ran for 77 yards on 13 carries, however that included a 53-yarder within the last minutes with the Dolphins dropping. Is this run protection? The nightmare of Tennessee final January nonetheless looms. Chubb will put it to the take a look at.
3. Myles Garrett vs. the Dolphins tackles. Garrett can rush from both aspect, has 7.5 sacks and is actually the Browns go rush. He’s actually their protection. The remainder of the group has 8.5 sacks to inform you how a lot of a pressure he’s. Left deal with Terron Armstead can deal with Garrett about in addition to anybody (with the weekly qualifier that Armstead performs along with his dangerous toe). The query is that if the Browns have a tendency to put Garrett up in opposition to proper deal with Brandon Shell (or Greg Little). Then it’ll be a group effort with retaining a good finish or working again to assist out on Garrett. The Dolphins’ go safety has been good of late partly as a result of it’s improved and confronted groups that don’t have a go rush. Cleveland isn’t an awesome pass-rushing group, rating 14th in sack proportion. But Garrett is a pressure.
4. Home and the fourth quarter. If it’s shut, it’s nice. The Browns protection ranks thirty second in surrendering fourth-quarter factors (10.4 a sport). That’s the form of opponent you need to play in in the present day’s NFL contemplating so many video games come right down to the fourth quarter. The Dolphins protection hasn’t precisely been good there, rating twenty second. But the Dolphins protection at house is totally different than the Dolphins protection on the highway. At residence, they’ve given up 7 factors to New England, 19 to Buffalo, 10 to Pittsburgh and 24 to Minnesota. That’s protection in comparison with the numbers on the highway: 38 to Baltimore, 27 to Cincinnati, 40 to the Jets (with the offense’s assist), 27 to Detroit and 32 to Chicago.
5. Don’t sleep on the Browns. They’re 3-5 and Jacoby Brissett is their starter (the Dolphins missed Deshaun Watson’s comeback by per week). But the Browns stack up statistically in some components: rating third in red-zone journeys to the Dolphin’ twelfth); fourth in first downs to the Dolphins’ eleventh; twelfth in incompletions to the Dolphins 14th. These are a few of the numbers I have a look at and it says Cleveland can play higher than their file suggests.
PREDICTION: Dolphins 30, Browns 23.
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Source: www.bostonherald.com