New Delhi. Where on the one hand the country (India) is currently going through the third wave of Corona and its new variant Omicron is now spreading at the community level. But maybe which we are not accepting. Although official figures show that Omicron cases are less than 2% of total Covid cases in India. But this situation can be a bit more complicated. Yes, ‘Omicron’ can soon create a big crisis in the country.
what is the condition of the country
Talking about the country, at present, more than 32 thousand cases have been seen in the country within the last 24 hours and there have been 116 deaths. Along with this, more than 10 thousand patients have also been cured. Significantly, so far 1700 cases of Omicron have been found in India. But now it may soon be more than 10 times.
What is the condition of Maharashtra:
Similarly, if we talk about Maharashtra, 11 thousand 877 new cases of corona infection were reported on Sunday, which is 2707 more than the cases reported a day earlier. Along with this, 50 cases of Omicron have also been reported here.
On the other hand, if the Mumbai Municipal Corporation is to be believed, then 8,063 new cases of infection have come. There were 10,394 cases of infection in the Mumbai region, which is about 90% of the total cases of infection in the state. According to BMC data, 809 cases were reported in the city on December 27, which means that till Sunday there has been an increase of almost 10% in the cases of infection. On Saturday also, 9,170 new cases of corona were reported in Maharashtra.
Why are the cases of infection less visible?
But even these figures can increase. By the way, let us tell you that this official number is so low because there are very few testing facilities or laboratories in the country right now that can test the genome sequencing which is necessary and necessary to detect Omicron.
But what’s most worrying is the fact that Omicron’s cases are growing much faster than Delta’s. However, the share of the Delta variant has seen a steady decline during this period, making Omicron now perhaps the dominant variant in India.
Omicron: What’s good and what’s bad for India
By the way, this is both good and bad news for India. The good in that Omicron is less serious infectious than Delta. On the other hand, Omicron’s death scare is much less observed than Delta. But what is worrying is that Omicron spreads very rapidly and is also estimated to be four to five times more contagious than the delta variant.
A big fact that stands out from this is that, if the Omicron variant accelerates in India’s third wave, as is the case in the rest of the world, then every four million delta cases in India will be affected in India. Day 16 lakh to 20 lakh cases can reach their peak. That is, daily till the peak level of our second wave.
will the country grow pressure on the medical system
But if it happens it will put a huge unbearable pressure on our medical system, availability of hospital beds, oxygen cylinders, doctors and medicines. This is also because even though Omicron is likely to lead to hospitalization in only a small percentage of cases, the total number of cases and infections is much higher.
Now if only six of Delta’s 100 cases would have required hospitalization, and if Omicron does half of it, too. So according to statistics 3 out of 100 omicron cases will require hospitalization. Now if we take a look at its big consequences, the last second wave reached a peak of four lakh delta cases, resulting in about 24,000 hospitalizations. So now at Omicron’s worst-case scenario, the peak of the third wave of 2 million cases will result in 60,000 people hospitalized per day for Omicron treatment.
Will the third wave be more dangerous than the second wave?
Now if we talk about the medical system, then during the second wave driven by the delta variant, the medical infrastructure of India was close to the breaking point. Now that would potentially be nearing nearly three times the number of hospitalizations for Omicron’s treatment, putting India in a major health crisis.
However, there is hope for India that the Omicron wave, though much worse than the delta wave, may not last long. On the other hand, data from South Africa clearly shows that Omicron waves grow faster but they end faster than Delta waves.
But the question is whether the Modi government of the country and other state governments are ready for all these difficult situations. Perhaps now there is a need for necessary preparation and introspection.