Harsh Vardhan Tripathi
All eyes are on the election results of the country’s largest state Uttar Pradesh. After the anti-agriculture law agitations that lasted for more than a year just before the assembly elections in 5 states, the perspective of looking at these elections has changed completely. The opposition parties may not have consolidated their ground under the brand of Prime Minister Narendra Modi, but every political analyst is predicting a change in the political equation in the five states with the farmers’ movement and on this the hopes of the opposition leaders rest.
The results of Uttar Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Goa, Manipur and Punjab are bound to be linked to the anti-agriculture law movement. However, there are few who believe that the elections in Goa and Manipur will make a difference to the farmers and the anti-agriculture law movement. The farmers’ movement may have an impact only in some assembly seats in a district of Uttarakhand connected with Uttar Pradesh, but in whatever direction the election results of Punjab and Uttar Pradesh go, the farmers’ movement will definitely be linked to it.
Now in Punjab, many farmers’ organizations have formed a party and their status will be directly known after the results, but the electoral math of Uttar Pradesh has become interesting. Rakesh Tikait, who became the biggest face of the anti-agriculture law movement, at first glance, appears committed to overthrow the power of the Bharatiya Janata Party, but after looking a little deeper, it is understood that Rakesh Tikait may be better than the Bharatiya Janata Party government. Be angry, but stand with BJP as a party.
Rakesh Tikait’s village is Sisauli in Muzaffarnagar district of Uttar Pradesh and in this village is also the headquarters of Bharatiya Kisan Union Arajnaitik. Tikait’s village, Sisauli, is the only representative of the Bharatiya Janata Party in the assembly and Lok Sabha, and both are Jats, both of whom also claim to be farmers like Rakesh Tikait.
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Dr. Sanjeev Baliyan, Minister of State in the Modi government, continued to hold meetings even during the peak of the anti-agriculture law movement and got good support among the Jats. Now the question is, can Akhilesh and Jayant Chaudhary’s equation of Muslim and Jat unity in any way eclipse the prospects of the Bharatiya Janata Party. To estimate this, one has to see the signs of elections in about 150 assembly seats of western Uttar Pradesh and, the easiest way to understand those signs is the actions of Naresh Tikait and Rakesh Tikait in today’s date.
During the agitation, Rakesh Tikait kept saying that he would overthrow the BJP from power, not only in Uttar Pradesh, but by going to every state of the country and defeating the BJP. It is a different matter that in West Bengal, where Trinamool Congress’s victory was absolutely certain, Rakesh Tikait did not go anywhere except ritually. The ruckus of Rakesh Tikait is still going on, but it is a matter of thinking that, leave the whole of Uttar Pradesh, Rakesh Tikait is avoiding open appeal to defeat the Bharatiya Janata Party in the first and second phase of western Uttar Pradesh seats as well.
Even, his elder brother and Chowdhury Naresh Tikait of Balyan Khap, after declaring his support for Samajwadi Party and Rashtriya Lok Dal, withdrew it and said that, we have made a big mistake. Even during the farmers’ movement, when farmers organizations called for a bandh, Rakesh Tikait expelled Muzaffarnagar from it. When the Bharatiya Janata Party government was badly surrounded in Lakhimpur Kheri, Rakesh Tikait reached Lakhimpur Kheri without any hindrance and made a compromise. At the same time, Priyanka Gandhi Vadra was battling with the Yogi government.
Still Rakesh Tikait or his farmers union is not running any big campaign to topple the Bharatiya Janata Party government. Unnecessarily raised the issue of temple-mosque in the program of a TV channel, while the anchor was questioning him on the issue of farmers. In another conversation, when Rakesh Tikait was asked that you have become soft towards BJP, Rakesh Tikait said that, we have no resentment with BJP.
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We have a fight with the government, we have a little fight with any party. Party and government are different. Rakesh Tikait is talking in such a way, as if a BJP worker who is angry with his own government is speaking. The statement of Union Minister Dr. Sanjeev Balyan is visible in the statement that, when the wind blows from the west, the crop is good. We will win West UP in a good way. Now Dr. Sanjeev Baliyan is a minister in the BJP’s central government, so he will talk about his party’s victory, but just like picking up a grain of rice from the pot, it can be understood that how much is cooked, how much is left to cook, in the same way in politics. it happens.
Estimate the first two phases of western Uttar Pradesh from this that, even after announcing Tikait, Rakesh did not go out to defeat the BJP with all his might. Naresh Tikait too turned back saying that he was opposed to the BJP. Naresh Tikait and Rakesh Tikait’s statements, their actions are clearly indicating the outcome of both the first phases.
(The author is a Hindi blogger and political affairs expert)
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