Coronavirus News: US President Joe Biden in his first State of the Union address has asked citizens to be prepared for the fourth wave of coronavirus infections. The fourth wave of coronavirus infection has also been predicted by the scientists of IIT Kanpur in India. According to Indian scientists, the peak of the fourth wave can be in June 2022.
The fourth wave of coronavirus infection in India may start from mid-June to the end of June. Scientists estimate that this wave will last for 4 months. A recent study by a team of scientists from IIT Kanpur has given these indications. However, the severity of this wave of coronavirus infection will depend on the nature of the variant and the vaccination status in the country.
Predictions have been correct before
Earlier, IIT Kanpur had also expressed the possibility that the third wave of Corona would come in early February and after that there would be a decline in the cases. Scientists’ guesses turned out to be quite right
What is the warning for the fourth wave
The study, led by Sabra Prasad Rajeshbhai, Shubhra Shankar Dhar and Shalabh from the Department of Mathematics, IIT Kanpur, used a mixture of the Gusson distributions based on data from Zimbabwe. The study was published on February 24 on the preprint server MedRxiv, but has yet to be peer reviewed.
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danger of fourth wave
The author said, the data indicates that the fourth wave of COVID-19 (COVID19) will arrive in India after 936 days from the date of initial availability of COVID, which is January 30, 2020.
He said, “Thus the fourth wave will start from June 22, 2022 and will reach its peak by August 23, 2022. It will end on October 24, 2022.”
How dangerous will the fourth wave be?
However, the new variant of this virus can have a significant impact on the entire analysis. The intensity of its effect will depend on the infectiousness, death figures etc. Apart from this, the cases of vaccination i.e. first and second dose will also have an important role in the level of infection.
According to another study, the new COVID variant can come in 2 ways. However, there is no guarantee that the new variant will be less severe than the previous variants.
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